{
  "hmt_baseline": {
    "q_bp2_per_month": 0.0,
    "observation_sd_bp_assumed": 25.0,
    "n_observations": 84,
    "first_observation": "2005-02-16",
    "last_observation": "2026-05-20",
    "negative_log_likelihood": 355.6850391017928,
    "q_on_zero_boundary": true,
    "q_near_upper_boundary": false,
    "q_profile_support_min": 0.0,
    "q_profile_support_max": 3.5481338923357533,
    "profile_status": "likelihood support diagnostic, not calibrated confidence interval",
    "parameters_use_full_survey_sample": true,
    "government_prices_used": false
  },
  "hmt_responsive": {
    "q_bp2_per_month": 3.0926349470128796,
    "observation_sd_bp_assumed": 12.5,
    "n_observations": 84,
    "first_observation": "2005-02-16",
    "last_observation": "2026-05-20",
    "negative_log_likelihood": 322.3107920510562,
    "q_on_zero_boundary": false,
    "q_near_upper_boundary": false,
    "q_profile_support_min": 0.707945784384138,
    "q_profile_support_max": 8.91250938133746,
    "profile_status": "likelihood support diagnostic, not calibrated confidence interval",
    "parameters_use_full_survey_sample": true,
    "government_prices_used": false
  },
  "hmt_fixed_innovation": {
    "q_bp2_per_month": 25.0,
    "observation_sd_bp_assumed": 25.0,
    "n_observations": 84,
    "first_observation": "2005-02-16",
    "last_observation": "2026-05-20",
    "negative_log_likelihood": 363.80280327730986,
    "q_on_zero_boundary": false,
    "q_near_upper_boundary": false,
    "q_profile_support_min": 25.0,
    "q_profile_support_max": 25.0,
    "profile_status": "likelihood support diagnostic, not calibrated confidence interval",
    "parameters_use_full_survey_sample": false,
    "government_prices_used": false
  },
  "hmt_last_published": {
    "model": "last published survey mean; no smoothing",
    "max_age_days": 550,
    "government_prices_used": false
  }
}